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One of the problems we have to deal with in writing a Super Bowl preview is repetitiveness. When we're down to only two teams to write about, it means we've written a lot about them already.

Similarities Between The Outsiders And Greasers

We covered Kansas City and Tampa Bay plenty during the regular season. We've now written about Kansas City in two playoff previews and Tampa Bay in three. They're the only two teams we've covered for the last two weeks.

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So I apologize that my introduction to this Super Bowl LV preview is going to go over some familiar territory. Nonetheless, it's the elephant in the room that has to be addressed if we're talking about the top-line stats of this matchup. The Chiefs were immediately installed as favorites in Super Bowl LV after Sunday's games, with the line currently at -3 or When we add in the playoffs, Tampa Bay moves to No. Kansas City, ignoring Week 17, is now third.

Similarities Between The Outsiders And Greasers

Our ratings have said that Andd Bay is underrated for weeks now. The problem is what we've been calling the Kansas City "flip the switch" Outsidrs. The idea is that the Chiefs deliberately took things easy when they had a late lead in regular-season games. There really hasn't been a team that completely followed this blueprint, underwhelmed in the regular season despite winning a bunch of games and then turned it on in the playoffs with a dominant postseason march to the championship.

There are some similarities between the Chiefs and the Packers or Colts, but those teams didn't win the Super Bowl. If the "flip the switch" theory were Similarities Between The Outsiders And Greasers, we would see evidence of the Chiefs playing a lower level with a late lead, and we would see them get significantly better once we got to the postseason. And, in fact, both of those things have happened.

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During the regular season, the Chiefs were significantly worse in the fourth quarter with a lead of more than a touchdown. Their offense dropped to In the playoffs, the Chiefs have played their best ball. And so, at Football Outsiders we're stuck doing a stat-based preview of the Super Bowl while wondering if our stats for the regular season are properly capturing how good the Chiefs really are.

That's a tough predicament, and one to remember as you read through the Super Bowl LV preview below. While Tampa Bay was not good enough to beat Kansas City when the two teams faced off in Week 12, the Bucs Gerasers been the Chiefs' match throughout the rest of the regular season.

In certain areas, the Bucs have been even better in recent weeks. But what does it mean if our numbers have the two teams as fairly equal, if Kansas City is better than the numbers show? For those who may be unfamiliar with the Football Outsiders stats, they are explained at the bottom of the page. Scroll down or click this link. Game charting data appears courtesy Sports Info Solutions, unless noted. All stats represent regular season only, except for weighted DVOA and anything else specifically noted. All readers can click here for the open in-game discussion thread. Perhaps you have heard this, but the Kansas City Chiefs offense is very good.]

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