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China has been a happy hunting ground for local and foreign stock investors as the A-share market clawed its way back from the painful crash. After rallying from a January low, however, valuations are frothy and stocks may be at risk of near-term capitulation, some analysts said.

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Tightening monetary conditions, narrowing breadth of stock gains, earnings and valuation hurdles, as well as new stock offerings mania are some of the major telltale signs that also preceded past Summatiion tumults, she added. Investors looking to allocate more cash to Chinese stocks should wait until a correction occurs. Get the latest insights and analysis from our Global Impact newsletter on the big stories originating in China. Market pricing will be more driven by earnings and we should put more emphasis on it.

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The CSI Index, which tracks the biggest companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen bourses, has risen 78 per cent from end to surpass the peak on January 5. That rally is being The Summation Of Stress Occurrences to the test for the first time this year as the index slipped 3. The central bank last week drained liquidity in its market operations, sending short-term interest rates up to the highest level in more than two years. There is a consensus that Chinese authorities will dial back their stimulus read more this year and continue to tighten regulations in sectors such as real estate, according to BCA Research.

The disparity between the earnings outlook and valuations indicates Chinese stock prices are overstretched, it added.

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Early results in January showed here per cent of 1,odd companies have Occurrsnces higher earnings last year, according to Bloomberg. Firms in the communication services and health care sectors are set to report the biggest growth, followed by consumer staples and technology. The risk, though, lies in how fast earnings can grow to catch up with excessive valuation, BCA Research said.

Besides, the breadth of the recent stock surge — or the percentage of stocks for which prices are rising versus falling — has worsened, BCA said. A sharp narrowing in that indicator has led to price corrections and major setbacks in the past, it added. Since October, gains in stock benchmarks have papered over some flaws. The number of stocks with ascending prices has fallen, with only a handful of large-cap stocks driving the broader market up. To be sure, there are market positives to digest, such buying support from an influx of retail cash into the market.

Chinese households, limited by investment choices, have been increasingly investing in the domestic equity market.]