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The role of central banks in responding to crises and next recession The Role of Banks in Economic Recessions

Monetarism is a school of thought in monetary economics that emphasizes the role of governments in controlling the amount of money in circulation. Monetarist theory asserts that variations in the money supply have major influences on national output in the short run and on price levels over longer periods.

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Monetarists assert that the objectives of monetary policy are best met by targeting the growth rate of the money supply rather than by engaging in discretionary monetary policy. Monetarism today is mainly associated with the work of Milton Friedmanwho was Economlc the generation of economists to accept Keynesian economics and then criticise Keynes's theory of fighting economic downturns using fiscal policy government spending.

Friedman and Anna Schwartz wrote an influential book, A Monetary History of the United States, —and argued " inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon". Though he opposed the existence Thhe the Federal Reserve[3] Friedman advocated, given its existence, a central bank policy aimed at keeping the growth of the money supply at a rate commensurate with the growth in productivity and demand for goods.

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Monetarism The Role of Banks in Economic Recessions an economic theory that focuses on the macroeconomic effects of the supply of money and central banking. Formulated by Milton Friedmanit argues that excessive expansion of the money supply is inherently inflationaryand that monetary authorities should focus solely on maintaining price stability. This theory draws its roots from two historically antagonistic schools of thought: the hard money policies that dominated monetary thinking in the late 19th century, and the monetary theories of John Maynard Keyneswho, working in the inter-war period during the failure of the restored gold standardproposed a demand-driven model for money. The result was summarised in a Ecoomic analysis of monetary policy, Monetary History of the United States —which Friedman coauthored with Anna Schwartz.

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The book attributed inflation to excess money supply generated by a central bank. It attributed deflationary spirals to the reverse effect of a failure of a central bank to support the money supply during a liquidity crunch. Friedman originally proposed a fixed monetary rulecalled Friedman's k-percent rulewhere the money supply would be automatically increased by a fixed percentage per year.

Under this rule, there would be no leeway for the central reserve bank, as money supply increases could be determined "by a computer", and business could anticipate all money supply changes.

Most monetarists oppose the gold standard. Friedman, for example, viewed a pure gold standard as impractical.

Clark Warburton is credited with making the first solid empirical case for the monetarist interpretation of business fluctuations in a series of papers from Friedman argued that the demand for money could be described as depending on a small number of economic variables. Thus, where the money supply expanded, people would not simply wish to hold the extra money in idle money balances; i. These excess money balances would therefore be spent and hence aggregate demand would rise. Similarly, if the money supply were reduced people would want to replenish their holdings of money by reducing their spending. In this, Friedman challenged a simplification attributed to Keynes suggesting that "money does not matter.]