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Around the World in 80 Days Chameleon SummaryConnecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the world. Now covering transport, industry and buildings in addition to its traditional focus on the power sector, NEO leverages the combined expertise of more than 65 BNEF analysts across 12 countries to offer a unique assessment of the economic drivers and tipping A Summary On The World that will shape these industries to mid-century, and paint a picture of the energy economy in This study is considered an invaluable input to CEOs, investors, strategists, and policy thinkers to support long-term planning.
Read the press release here. Our Economic Transition Scenario ETS is our core economics-led scenario that employs a combination of near term market analysis, least-cost modelling, consumer uptake and trend-based analysis to describe the deployment and diffusion of commercially available technologies. Over the long-term we remove policy drivers to uncover the underlying economic fundamentals of the energy transition.
This year we have focused on a clean electricity and green hydrogen pathway. In future analysis we will look A Summary On The World other pathways to deep decarbonization. The final section is called Implications for Policy.
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This offers BNEF perspective on some of the most important policy areas that emerge from our two OOn scenario analyses. They rise again with economic recovery toward but then decline 0. For 1. In total, Covid subtracts some 2. Wind retakes the lead from solar. Oil demand peaks in and then falls 0. The growth of EVs offsets demand growth in aviation, shipping and petrochemicals, and shapes the future of oil. Gas is the only fossil fuel to grow continuously through the outlook, gaining 0.
Cheap gas ultimately slows the energy transition in the United States. It is in freefall across Europe and the U. Coal-fired power peaks in China in and in India in But, despite improvements in energy efficiency and recycling, primary coal demand continues to grow in industry.
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Two-thirds of this electricity goes to direct electricity provision in transport, industry and buildings. The rest is used to manufacture green hydrogen. Green hydrogen provides just under a quarter of total final energy in under our Climate Scenario. This could be met with a further 14TW of renewables or 4TW of new nuclear.
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The renewable route might be cheaper but land is an issue. BNEF clients can access the full report, its breakdown by technology and region, as well as the underlying Excel data and previous editions. Go to the client page or access on the Bloomberg Terminal. High-level findings of NEO are available in a free executive summary, simply complete the form below to receive access instructions via email. Want to learn how we help our clients put it all together?]
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