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The United States And The 21st Century. The United States And The 21st Century

We stand at the threshold of a technological revolution. The truth is that Musk did not go far enough. Not only are we witnessing the end of fighter jets.

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We are witnessing the end of the Industrial-era military itself. This is not a minor shift. Indeed, what we are now facing is a complete redesign of a fading industrial order. As Ray Dalio observes, we are entering a new global era. This transition portends a dramatic shift away from rudimentary machines and toward precision electronics. Modern electric car chassis x-ray vehicle battery in studio environment line art 3d render.

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Much as mass electrification accelerated the rise of the United States, so AI has begun transforming the contours of the global order. AI is a general purpose technology with a capacity to reshape the nature of global security. Underlying this shift is the rise of technologies that leverage energy decentralization and electronics in remaking combustion-based technologies. Conventional forecasts on technology often make the common error of assuming that system changes of this magnitude simply replace old technologies on a 1-to-1 basis. In reality, disruptions on this scale tend to disproportionately replace old systems with dramatically new architectures, boundaries, and capabilities. Indeed, even as the industrial era winds downtechnological innovation is speeding up.

In the case of energy— solar, wind and battery capacity are now driving an exponential decline in the cost of energy. As the cost curve for renewables ultimately plummets to near-zerothe shift to cleantech will become a major disrupter of conventional militaries. Add to this data-driven advances in Click here and ML and what we are beginning to see is a complete technological restructuring. Disruptions of this magnitude are driven by the convergence of technological and institutional changes that trigger causal feedback loops — pushing existing systems into accelerated decline. With a fraction of the parts needed for fossil fuel technologies, The United States And The 21st Century technologies are not only cheaper and easier to maintain but subject to the same accelerating returns as other computational technologies. The impact of past technological revolutions can provide some perspective on the changing nature of contemporary institutions.

Building on fossil fuels, Britain and the United States became globe spanning empires.

The United States And The 21st Century

Today, Industrial era technologies print, television, automobiles and the institutions that gave rise to them are now in decline. To take one example, the oil industry is now undergoing a structural collapse.

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As recently asExxon was the largest company in the world. As countries leverage data, electronics, and software automation to compete for military and commercial advantage, they are beginning to transition beyond fossil fuels and into a massively competitive global market for innovation. Byrenewables will provide the cheapest electricity option for most regions of the world while oil and gas Tue reduced to stranded assets.

The United States And The 21st Century

Indeed, BlackRock— the world's largest asset manager— views clean energy as a 10 trillion dollar market. Given this shift, the US military now finds itself in a very precarious position.]

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